The World Cup and...Economics?: What Italy has to Expect

With Italy's socking win to become the world's besthave seen a gain of about 10% for the World Cup
soccer team, it seems prudent to discuss somethingchampions and a loss of about 25% on average for
that is not usually connected with soccer: thethe losing team. This growth is not uncommon, says
economy.van Leeuween and Kalshhoven as they have seen on
It may seem strange, but many say it is true, thataveraged a 10% gain for the World Cup champions
the outcome of this super sports event dictates theand 25% loss for the losing team (Kalshoven and
economic future of the participating teams and inVan Leeuwen).
turn, the world. It has been researched, and evidenceBefore the beginning of the Cup, Brazil and England
has been found, to hypothesize the winners of thewere the favorites, but with these two already out it
World Cup can expect to have a small boost in theiris hard to tell who will be gaining that economic boost.
finances as a result of the win. In "Soccer and theGermany, as the host country, has put more than
Economy: March 2006 Edition", Ruben van Leeuwen$350 million into transportation improvements for the
and Charles Kalshoven discussed this phenomenon. InCup and in total $1.7 billion to improve stadiums
their document van Leeuween and Kalshoven look to(Higginson). Since they have put so much in, it may
a study conducted to the Algemene Bank Nederlandbe safe to say Germany deserves this win. Also,
(ABN) and the Amsterdamsche-Rotterdamsche BankGermany has fallen on economic hard times, making a
(AMRO) showing that the winning countries tend towin highly beneficial to not only the economic state
see a 0.7% increase in their market. Most of thisof the country but the psychological state as well.
increase is contributed to the positive energyHowever, on Sunday Germany's dreams were
generated in a country from a win. A win at thedashed by a stellar overtime performance by the
World Cup causes a whole country to feel pride andItalian team. However, Germany is not totally
happiness, and happy people just love to buy. Plus,discouraged as it expects at least a 1.6% increase in
parties to celebrate the win will generate revenueits GNP due only to the revenue generated from
and work, especially in bars and supermarkets.being a host country. Plus, the new jobs created by
Another means of economic growth come from thethis opportunity have led to an 11% increase in
sale of souvenirs commemorating the big win. Finally,Germany's unemployment rate (Drew).
a country that wins the World Cup is recognized byIt shall remain to be seen whether or not Italy has
the whole world because of its achievement. Thisthe economic golden egg hidden under the title of
recognition may open up new trade opportunities andWorld Cup Champion, but at least it is sure they have
make businesses more inclined to invest in thethe respect of the world (a maybe a bruised
country (Kalshoven and Van Leeuwen).sternum). The next World Cup is not set to be
In 2002, .3 billion people watched the World Cup Finalplayed until summer 2010, when it will be hosted by
in Japan, and this number is predicted to be muchSouth Africa.
higher in Berlin (Unknown). This amount of publicityWorks Cited
certainly helps stimulate the economy in general, butDrew, Catherine. "VOA News-German Businesses
past wins reflect that the theory that economicAwait Economic Effects of World
growth and World Cup champions go hand in hand.Cup." News VOA. 8 June 2006. 28 June 2006
According to van Leeuween and Kalshoven, thereHigginson, Matthew. "Financial Goals: the Wealth
have only been two exceptions to this theory sinceBehind the World Cup." TMCNet. 12
1970: in 1974 and 1978. In these two years, theJune 2006. Technology Marketing Corporation. 28
German ('74) and Argentine ('78) economy declined,June 2006
however the economy of the losing finalist bothKalshoven, Charles, and Ruben Van Leeuwen.
years, the Netherlands, had a far greater loss.Netherlands. ABN AMRO. Soccernomics
However, in 1988 the Netherlands finally had its2006: Soccer and the Economy. 22 Mar. 2006. 28
victory and its economic growth. IN this year theJune 2006
Amsterdam stock market gained 29% more than itUnknown."World Cup 2006-Private Sector
did the previous year. Van Leeuween and KalshovenDevelopment- the World Bank Group.